Having punted the payroll tax reduction battle – along with most federal spending, debt limit and tax reform issues – into 2012, Congress must now catch up with what it should have done in 2011, while trying to tackle a host of issues that must be handled before the November elections. Here are some issues expected to consume Congress’ time:
Input Costs/Availability: Overarching several issues confronting agriculture is the cost and availability of everything from corn, soybeans and other crop ingredients to inputs, including fertilizer and feed ingredients. Much of the outcome will hinge on global factors, e.g, what will be the impact of prolonged South American drought on U.S. corn exports? What does Russian production look to be, particularly in the Black Sea region, and what will its import/export policies look like? What will China do in 2012? What’s Europe’s macroeconomic/currency future? Some of this will be addressed in the Farm Bill, some in energy policy development, some in tax and awaited Dodd-Frank/CFTC rulemakings.
Energy: Congress continues to wrestle with fashioning a comprehensive federal energy policy into which such things as alternative energy incentives, research into biofuels, etc., can be tucked. Expired tax incentives for biofuels – particularly biodiesel – and a federal Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) under attack as market-distorting, will be tough hurdles to overcome, and ag groups will be pushing for a bill by Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-VA) that would reduce the RFS mandate on corn-based ethanol should the stocks-to-use ratio fall below set limits.
Farm Bill: Production agriculture is focused like a laser beam on how to rewrite federal farm program income supports in a time of high on-farm income and restricted federal spending. However, given the difficulty in moving comprehensive and expensive farm legislation in an election year already has some national groups, including the National Cattlemen’s Beef Assn. (NCBA), predicting the Farm Bill will not be completed until 2013, though drafts will circulate throughout 2012, and one or both committees may approve “final” versions. The chief priority for most farmers and ranchers is preserving federally subsidized crop insurance programs, with several grain/oilseed/cotton/rice/sugar/dairy groups having reinvented their federal payment programs as income insurance protection programs. The American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF), which issued several “warnings” on various crop groups’ new ideas, is meeting in Hawaii this week and will likely revisit all of its farm program recommendations, affirming or rewriting what most have called support for current programs albeit with smaller spending. A bill fashioned by Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI), chair of the Senate Agriculture Committee, and Rep. Frank Lucas (R-OK), chair of the House ag panel, but never submitted to the deficit reduction super committee, may provide ideas for a new Farm Bill, but will not be the foundation for the comprehensive bill.
Trade: The World Trade Organization (WTO) formally nixed the U.S. country-of-origin labeling regulations, so 2012 will bring the Administration decision on whether to appeal that ruling or not. With Congress having finally ratified free trade agreements with Panama, Colombia and Korea, attention now turns to the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), with the immediate focus on bringing Japan, and perhaps Canada, into the negotiations, which increases the importance of these discussions for the U.S. livestock sector. Also on deck is congressional ratification of Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) for Russia now that nation has been accepted into the WTO. This will be a heated debate based on Russian embargoes on poultry and other U.S. exports over the last couple of years.
Animal Rights: The loudest battle, but one which will most likely be won by broad animal agriculture is the agreement between the United Egg Producers (UEP) and the Humane Society of the U.S. (HSUS) on “enriched” environments for caged layers. Never before has a U.S. producer group asked for federal regulation of its on-farm production practices, and the precedent-setting nature of the action pits UEP against all of livestock and poultry production, including a number of input organizations. HSUS will also likely continue to pursue federal legislation to make horse slaughter illegal in the U.S., as well as forcing all meat processors to kill all nonambulatory livestock – no matter the species or the reason – so that they do not enter the food supply. An assault on the use of primates in biomedical research is expected, as well as HSUS support of a proposed ban on antibiotic use on farms.
Tax Reform: Over 1,000 federal tax credits for everything from small business research and development to child care to biodiesel once again were allowed to lapse at midnight on December 31, setting up another tug-of-war in getting some of them modified and all of them reauthorized. The Bush tax cuts will also expire absent congressional action, and both the Senate Finance Committee and the House Ways & Means Committee are expected to float a comprehensive tax reform package early this year that will seek to close some corporate loopholes and deductions as offsets to pay for other reform measures. Heavy debate will focus on reducing overall U.S. corporate tax rates, now the second highest in the world, as a means to entice companies to bring off-shore investment and savings back to the U.S.
Now that federal financial incentives for the ethanol industry have lapsed, including the blenders’ tax credit and the import tariff, the broad ethanol industry is pushing hard to get an equivalent amount of support – about $6 billion in federal spending last year – shifted to spending on ethanol infrastructure, including loan guarantees for pipeline construction, flexfuel pump installations and federal mandates on construction of flexfuel cars and light trucks. Growth Energy, a major association of ethanol companies, says its focus is now on E15 (15% fuel blends), flexfuel pumps and flexfuel cars, all designed to increase demand for primarily corn-based ethanol. Further, Growth Energy and the Renewable Fuels Assn. (RFA) said it will continue to push EPA on the E15 petition – there are House and Senate bills designed to block any EPA action to increase the blend rate above the current 10% -- while also working to protect the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS), the federal mandate on how much ethanol must be blended with gasoline on an annual basis. Livestock and poultry groups are calling for congressional hearings on the impact of the RFS on the economy and food production. The RFS is also a major rallying point for ethanol producers, given the new push against the RFS by animal production. “We expect the RFS to be a target as long as the RFS is in place,” RFA said just before Christmas, but the group continues to try and reinvent parts of the RFS through administrative actions. The original federal law that created the RFS in 2007 specifically bans ethanol from benefitting from certain incentives for so-called “advanced biofuels,” such as cellulosic ethanol and biodiesel whether from oilseeds or animal byproducts. The ethanol industry is pushing to have corn-based ethanol redefined as an “advanced biofuel” under the RFS, a move that would increase the RFS blend mandate to 21 billion gallons by 2022. However, EPA sees other biofuels – including biodiesel from soybeans and animal fats – as the fuels that will meet the 2022 blend mandate. Meanwhile, House bills authored by Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-VA), former chair of the House Agriculture Committee, would eliminate the RFS completely, or more realistically, reset the RFS formula so that when the corn stocks-to-use ratio falls below a certain level, then the RFS is suspended in whole or in part.
Thirteen organizations representing the bulk of commodity market users – including the American Feed Industry Assn. (AFIA) and the National Grain & Feed Assn. (NGFA) – told Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) this week the commission’s approach to regulation writing as part of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform & Consumer Protection Act is “inflexible, with rules written that are largely “designed for systemically important institutions…whose hedging poses no risk to the markets or the economy.”
The group asked that CFTC rules be clearer and more flexible and take into account legitimate hedging needs for end users of ag products. “Agriculture end users…should be positively encouraged to manage their risks and not (be) forced into a one-size-fits-all regulatory approach,” the group said in a letter to CFTC Chair Gary Gensler.
The group asked the CFTC to revisit its swap dealer definition, a proposal written so broadly it threatens to ensnare cooperatives and local grain elevators that provide risk management tools as a service to their members and customers. The swap definition, the group said, was supposed to catch commercial and institutional entities that pose a risk to the system, and the rule as written may force some co-ops and elevators to cease offering risk management services to escape the “swap dealer” definition and regulation.
The group said the myriad rules being drafted by the CFTC as required under Dodd-Frank do not demonstrate an understanding of the interaction of the rulemakings, and in some cases, definitions and eligibilities under the rules are in conflict.
A controversial National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) rulemaking designed to speed up union organizing elections and forestall employer litigation got the green light just be Christmas, and the House has said it will move legislation to stop the rulemaking. The NLRB voted 2-1 along party affiliation to move to final approval of the proposed rulemaking. Industry reacted as expected, condemning the NLRB move, and Congress has said it will block the NLRB action. The House passed one bill to forestall the NLRB, but Senate action is not expected; the House has vowed to continue its fight. The rulemaking, dubbed as the “ambush elections” rule, would require union elections to be held in less than 21 days on average, down from the current 38 days. Further, employers would be stopped from filing a lawsuit to negate the election until after the vote has been held so they don’t hold up the election process. NLRB Chair Mark Gaston Pearce said final rule will be modified so would only apply to union elections needlessly delayed by “frivolous litigation.” The National Association of Manufacturers (NAM), sued the NLRB over the rulemaking, and said this week, “This is a misguided rule. This is a prime example of how the current Board’s aggressive agenda seeks to significantly change longstanding and agreed-upon labor policy. The NAM will seek explore every possible action to put a stop to the ambush election rule and protect manufacturers from the NLRB’s activist agenda.”
With a week of FDA announcing it had withdrawn two long-standing and long-idle FDA notices of opportunity for hearing (NOOH) the agency announced it would restrict how and in what species cephalosporins can be used. The class of antibiotics that includes cephalosporins is used primarily in human medicine, but has some limited application in animal production, generally by veterinarians to prevent and treat disease across most species. There are no feed approvals for cephalosporin, nor can it be used in feed in any extra-label way by vets since extra-label use of drugs in feed is banned by federal law. FDA said its action was in line with its new emphasis on disease treatment and prevention, but the restriction, which will take effect April 5, will prohibit the use of the compound to prevent disease, while leaving treatment of disease a legal use. The American Veterinary Medical Assn. (AVMA) said the agency action was an improvement over previous actions, citing previous decisions by FDA as generally too sweeping, leading to unnecessarily banning needed medications for animals that pose no problem for humans. In a related development, Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack continues to try and clarify apparently conflicting statements on where USDA stands on antibiotics use on farm. This week, AVMA formally asked for clarification after Vilsack said he’d like to see antibiotics used in the context of disease control and “response” during a press briefing on the completion of the Administration’s Food Safety Working Group. He said USDA is working with veterinarians and universities to ensure the judicious use of antibiotics. The department, however, says Vilsack’s comments should not be taken to mean support for a ban or lack of support for FDA’s action, which is USDA’s way of saying its position has not changed.
American Farm Bureau Federation President Bob Stallman told Agri-Pulse newsletter last week that “knee jerk” reactions to the MF Global bankruptcy will not solve the problems the collapse of the trading company has created. Stallman said the first step is to find out what laws were broken and by whom. At the same time, a Reuters News Service analysis of futures markets reported that as of December 21, commodity market participation had dropped by almost 9% as farmers, investors and other traders closed out positions following the MF Global bankruptcy, the eighth largest in U.S. history. Reuters reported that in the six weeks following the filing of the MF Global bankruptcy – MF Global described as the “most active broker in U.S. commodity markets – traditional hedgers closed out positions in corn, crude oil, gold and other markets, shrinking the number of open trades dramatically. Open interest at the end of November 29, fell below 10 million contracts for the first time since 2009 based on calculations on CFTC data from 19 different markets. Stallman called for full prosecution of lawbreakers, and if the company is found to have been under-regulated, then solutions to that regulatory gap must be found. “If the entire futures markets are going to operate for agriculture, we need to have confidence in the way they operate,” Stallman said. “I don’t want to start talking about knee-jerk reactions until we fully understand what happened with MF Global.”
USDA this week reported the Economic Research Service (ERS) has updated its data set on “data on fertilizer consumption in the U.S. by plant nutrient and major selected product, as well as consumption of mixed fertilizers, secondary nutrients and micronutrients.” Data on the share of crop area receiving fertilizer and fertilizer use by receiving acre, by nutrient, etc., are also included on a state basis for corn, cotton, soybeans and wheat, along with information on fertilizer farm prices and indices on wholesale fertilizer prices. The complete report can be found at www.ers.usda.gov/data/fertilizeruse/.